Two bets for Chris Day this weekend and he expects Paul Nicholls to taste glory in the Coral Gold Cup.
Race Betting Tips: Saturday November 26
1pt Threeunderthrufive in 3.05 Newbury at 8/1 (William Hill, Coral, Ladbrokes)
1pt L’Homme Presse at 3.25 Newbury at 3/1 (Sky Bet & William Hill)
Newbury’s biggest jump race, the Coral Gold Cupappears to be executed on good ground, presenting bettors with another question to consider when trying to find Saturday’s winner.
The last two renewals have been won by underdogs wearing the colors of the fiery Trevor Hemmings, although last year’s result could have been so different if Remastered hadn’t tipped four on coming up to its challenge.
He’s been all the rage since a winning reappearance over hurdles at Aintree three weeks ago and looks like he has the makings of a likely challenger here.
Also at the top of the bookies list is Corach Rambler, winner of the Ultiima Handicap Chase at Cheltenham where he emerged from the clouds to resume racing after the last, notoriously difficult tactic to execute at Newbury.
He also won well at Aintree early on where he showed more tactical speed albeit at a lower level and if Derek Fox can keep him within reach early his class should make him a likely contender.
Busselton, aged just five, has been busy in Ireland over the summer, fresh off being hit in the Galway Plate before being rewarded for his consistency in the Kerry National where he may have had some luck to win after Hewick seemed to finally have his measure.
The mere mention of Hewick means we have to take this form very seriously and as a horse that likes to run with the pace I can see Busselton is fine for a trainer who still has some good ammunition for the winter prizes. despite focusing more on the flat these days, although it might be one tough race too many, come the latter stages of Saturday’s contest.
I don’t think there are any Gold Cup contenders here, but the ones trained by Paul Nicholls THREE MINUS FIVE reminds me of Many Clouds, one of the most popular winners of recent seasons.
Just below the top novice fighters last season where he finished ranked 151, it may not have been the trainer’s decision to stick to three miles at the Festival where he was largely beaten by L’ Man Press and Ahoy Senor.
Nicholls had expressed the opinion that he was the right guy for the National Hunt Chase, as he jumps to have fun with the rhythm, stays all day and seems unresponsive to ground conditions, a characteristic that could become increasingly more prominent in National Hunt horses from now on. on.
His warm-up effort at Wetherby over the hurdles revealed he was in good condition and was apparently exactly what the Connections were looking for with this race in mind and no one chooses a horse for the big days quite like Paul Nicholls.
I particularly liked his effort in a 2nd grade Novice Pursuit at Warwick last January where he looked perfect for that race and I’ve had him on my radar ever since so he’s looking at the early bet at 8/1.
With Venetia Williams looking like she’s hitting form this weekend, it might be worth sticking with a few of her horses on Saturday.
She and Charlie Deutsch barely went a weekend without appending a big prize after the Cloudy Glen win at Newbury and, at Djelo, she has a hurdler who looks very well handicapped.
He made his UK debut at Exeter on Sunday where he ran prominently and barely turned a hair to put the light of day between him and a probable sort of Dan Skelton, nothing else resembling s involved in what seemed like a worthwhile event.
He will surely come back this weekend in the Coral Bet Bundles Intermediate Handicap (Gerry Feilden Hurdle) at Nebwury under penalty because he will have a big rise in the odds and should not have taken too much this weekend. the longer it doesn’t seem the hottest of races. I was tempted to put it at 11/4 but that price is long gone.
The other horse from Venetia that I like is THE BUSY MAN in the Betfair Exchange Repeat Chase after being one of several high profile withdrawals this weekend due to the pitch at Ascot.
He’s improved endlessly after coming from France last year, winning every trip on every type of terrain and I don’t see 164 as a grade he can’t win in the peloton on Saturday if he’s going to be the main contender for the Gold Cup this side of the Irish Sea as I expected.
He’s early favorite at 3/1, we’ve seen lately that the best horses can carry weight in the handicaps and I’d be surprised if he’s not ready to do himself justice with a trip to Kempton the next day Christmas his next target.
Preview published at 09:55 GMT on 22/11/2022
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