Daily Telegraph form analyst Matt Jones gives his best bets and applies the rule to Quaddie’s legs at Hawkesbury and Quirindi.
The Form: Complete the NSW Racing Thoroughbred Form, including video replays and everything you need to know about each horse, jockey and trainer. Find a winner here!
Race 8, n°9: SURFERS ROYALE
The Matthew Smith-trained colt has been super consistent to launch his career and if he can control this run from the front he will be very hard to knock down.
Race 6, n°7: MONASTERY
He had an excuse in a much stronger last race start and comes here third ready to give his best, which is good enough to win at this level.
Race 5: 1, 3, 7
Race 6: 2, 3, 4, 7
Race 7: 2, 3, 5, 6
Race 8: 3, 7, 9
JOCKEY TO WATCH
Josh Parr’s four rides can secure him success with Silver City looking to be his standout ride with Chenin and Wild Irish Rover.
Race 5, n°3: MOORABINDA MICK
I think he can turn things around in the second half after having to be exhausted earlier than the ideal last start. He has solid form around Tidal Rush.
COACH TO WATCH
Cameron Crockett has a small competitive team coming in here with Pyramid Of Fire, Shamalie and Titration looking like big chances with even luck.
DOMESTIC MAIL FOR HAWKESBURY
Chenin was ruled out of a stronger run on Wednesday. Didn’t have the easiest run in transit the front start when cool then fades late. She won on this track on her only attempt and was already in a group race. With Thinking Rain as an unlikely starter, she’s the one to beat. Opito Ballerina is 3.5kg lighter than the topweight, which obviously helps over 1500m. She will run handily and might even lead this trip as a very fit horse. John O’Shea put the blinders on Tavi L’amour for the first time and brings her back to the only circuit where she has had success.
Bet: Winner of Chenin
Monastery falls back from a Group 2 run by running sixth and shooting 2/5 lame, so there were excuses. He’s ready to get to third, so it looks like a great run for him. Kingdom Of Gold was well backed to win at Wyong and got the job done. He seemed to appreciate a bigger track more and he’s getting it now. There was a series of big defeats before this victory. White Boots likes to race in Hawkesbury and a Good 4 track is to their liking.
Bet: Monastery to win
Silver City are running in an in-form stable and Gray are aiming for three straight wins. He will walk away to the line and they will have to be strong to defeat him. All the Machiavellians are out there trying to get a confidence-building victory. He has the ability but will the desire be there? Flying Sultan should be looking to jump and cross the terrain before the first corner as he tries to protect his second unbeaten record and likes firm tracks. Retiro held off Our Belle Fille twice and he’s since come out and won and he ran a close second to the eventual Roots Stakes performer at the start of this year, so at $20 he might be overtaken.
Bet: Retreat each way
Altivo came from an almost impossible place to win on his Newcastle debut and he should be even better over the 1500m in second place with the same jockey on a comfortable draw. Surfers Royale hasn’t missed a top three finish to date due to his tenacity and quick style that takes bad luck out of the equation. He should be in the lead again and stay there for a long time. Duke Of Buckingham was just caught late here last time and is on a faster save now.
Bet: Winner of Surfers Royale
THE DOMESTIC MAIL FOR QUIRINDI
Shamalie is doing well enough to win this race but received an awkward toss, so luck is needed early so she takes a position and doesn’t get trapped in the race. With any luck, she’s made it. Arliebel also trailed but will likely be chilled and look to take them on with a late race like she did in winning last week. The confidence of this decisive victory could see it continue. Sensational Reward should lead or sit from the inside door and comes to Moree coach Peter Sinclair from Adelaide with a good new record.
Bet: Victory of Shamalie
This race promises to be very competitive. The second half beat Moorabinda Mick on the final start over a mile at Scone. Moorabinda Mick was dropped early and held second place well, so I can see him reversing that result now if the speed is more genuine. Maly Malt comes into play now that she’s back on a heavy track, but Eva’s Deel, who beat her at home in the last start, isn’t as good in the wet. Danspur had 58 races but only two on heavy tracks for a classification. He is bred to swim but they avoided wet grounds with him.
Bet: Victory of Moorabinda Mick
The Affirmative doesn’t have a flash record on paper but turned the corner under new coach Craig Clegg and she won her first two on heavy ground, which could be key again. Inferno Miss still seems to run well without winning while Lavish Lady is a chance to rebound if she gets more control up front. Can Lan Kwai Fong win over 1000m given that her best distance is over a mile and up?
Bet: Affirmative to Win
Cheval De Course is probably looking to lead this and is well placed after two good runs in fairly enjoyable races, including a first victory at Newcastle on a Heavy 8 before fading to the bottom of second place. Look for a rebound. Titration will put himself in this race and is now fourth, so hopefully at the start he has a chance. Shaolin Temple resumes without barrier, what happened last time and he won. His last prep run was quite enjoyable in a city highway race and a wet track shouldn’t worry him.
Bet: Shaolin Temple Victory
#Hawkesbury #Quirindi #Tips #Wide #Draw #Wont #Stop #Shot